And JTC, the SNP are polling in the high 50s for Holyrood and Westminster.
It’s likely that the SNP and Greens combined will take more than 60% of the vote at Holyrood next May.
Polls are only a indication of how people are honking at the moment in time. Also they can be skewed by askin an question a certain way or asking a certain type of person.You held pole position on the grid in 14.
That will be 60% thinking the SNP and Greens are best in Scotland (if it happens).Not the best in the UK or saying they want a Indy ref . Of course they will attach a Indy ref to their policy, they have to.I doubt that will be why X amount will be voting for them though
Think about it. In England people have voted the Tories as the main party. Do you seriously think a lot want to vote Tory?The stark fact is a decent amount would not but faced ( pre CV) with a choice of Tories or a plan off Labour which seems extreme to a lot of their natural supporters they vote Tory because what they have they want to keep and basically are not prepared to risk their house and job on a unproven set of policies in the U.K.They have probably noticed when the said policies have been tried elsewhere they have brought a disastrous result .
You also have to consider the independence polling. A majority now consistently back independence.
If an election campaign is fought with a manifesto commitment to a referendum front and centre and then there is a landslide victory, there will be a referendum.
The numbers backing independence now mirror the level of SNP and Green support.
Unionists have got to face up to reality. Or don’t, I’m fine with that.
I don't think it's fair to say that a majority now consistently back independence. All we are going by are opinion polls, commissioned by those with a pro-Independence agenda, with loaded lead up questions and final question, small sample sizes, large numbers of undecideds by polling companies who on the run up to the referendum consistently showed results which were way more favourable to separation than the result was.
As well as this, these polls only span a period of 5 months, where Nicola Thatcher the Pint Snatcher has a huge PR advantage with her daily briefings. Not only this, but the emotions of remainers are running high with Brexit having taken place and some loose ends still being tied. Also, none of the issues such as the UK single market, a hard border, currency, the SNP's push for children to be able to choose their own gender, reality of Scotland even being allowed to enter the EU if it becomes a Nation.
A quick example of how these polls are riddled with spoofery is the apparent notion that support for separation has went up 5% in the space of a few days for no apparent reason. They are not an accurate reflection of the opinion of Scots.
There's nothing to suggest they'll remain a great deal longer than the current 5 months of which we are supposed to base splitting up the Nation on. In fact, the polls even showed support for separation going down other than the latest mad outlier which was presumably commissioned by Paul McKenna (going by the lead up questions anyway).
In short, this polling is bullsh1t.
The Times and YouGov do not have an independence agenda. The polling experts such as Professor Curtice do think it is fair to say that the view is now consistently Yes.
Polling has an excellent track record n Scotland and Unionists didn’t doubt them when they yielded results which are pleased them.
I kindly refer you to the following link, which shows that far from having an 'excellent track record', they actually consistently showed the gap between No and Yes to be far lower than the 11% it turned out to be.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2014_Scottish_independence_referendum
The Times and YouGov may not have an independence agenda, but Agnes Robertson the humble crofter does. I also do not believe Curtice has stated that these 5 month opinion polls are a true reflection of the mood of Scotland, although I'm happy to be proven wrong on this one.
The polls versus the 2014 outcome are pretty much spot on because there are no Don’t Knows in the final outcome.
Curtice has stated that these polls now reflect a consistent position for the Scottish electorate.
It has been 13 months since the union polled over 50%. Now down to 39%.
If they were spot on, then there must have been a huge proportion of the don't knows reverting to No. I'd imagine this would be the same this time round. Even with that, the pre-referendum polling was still far too favourable to Separation than it turned out to be on the day.
Do you have a link to Curtice saying this?
The Union polling over 50% is not the benchmark, Yes being higher than No is.. which has only happened for 5 months.